Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006680 0.007719 0.008938 0.010490 0.012441 0.014852 0.018118
2025-11-02 0.005209 0.006438 0.008026 0.010291 0.013547 0.018248 0.025956
2025-11-09 0.004279 0.005502 0.007180 0.009749 0.013792 0.020326 0.032781
2025-11-16 0.003683 0.004875 0.006584 0.009350 0.014027 0.022343 0.040528
2025-11-23 0.003370 0.004585 0.006401 0.009503 0.015150 0.026267 0.054749
2025-11-30 0.003055 0.004242 0.006072 0.009334 0.015630 0.029129 0.069037
2025-12-07 0.002768 0.003904 0.005700 0.009009 0.015711 0.031160 0.083196
2025-12-14 0.002562 0.003670 0.005464 0.008881 0.016147 0.034240 0.104927
2025-12-21 0.002461 0.003589 0.005471 0.009204 0.017649 0.040915 0.153493
2025-12-28 0.002394 0.003557 0.005556 0.009693 0.019698 0.050632 0.247823
2026-01-04 0.002286 0.003443 0.005476 0.009825 0.020909 0.058626 0.370934
2026-01-11 0.002159 0.003285 0.005298 0.009713 0.021442 0.064612 0.520543
2026-01-18 0.002049 0.003159 0.005187 0.009781 0.022674 0.075622 0.906481
2026-01-25 0.001921 0.002991 0.004979 0.009597 0.023139 0.084070 1.512238
2026-02-01 0.001775 0.002780 0.004664 0.009105 0.022464 0.086005 2.070911
2026-02-08 0.001657 0.002611 0.004417 0.008741 0.022119 0.089850 3.174361
2026-02-15 0.001598 0.002546 0.004374 0.008881 0.023585 0.107894 10.800665
2026-02-22 0.001518 0.002435 0.004227 0.008727 0.023939 0.119119 38.456186
2026-03-01 0.001433 0.002310 0.004037 0.008431 0.023656 0.125122 170.305228
2026-03-08 0.001369 0.002222 0.003919 0.008314 0.024064 0.138884 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001343 0.002203 0.003948 0.008608 0.026351 0.179829 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001328 0.002206 0.004024 0.009053 0.029615 0.251648 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001292 0.002162 0.003992 0.009173 0.031432 0.316139 NaN